https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/14/science.abb5793?
https://www.wired.com/story/what-if-covid-19-returns-every-year-like-the-common-cold/
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The role of seasonality “is certainly not zero,” Marc Lipsitch, a professor of epidemiology at Harvard who coauthored the study, said at a press conference held Tuesday. He cautioned that seasonal variability is not the same thing as saying the virus will go away in the summer. Outbreaks could occur at any time, he noted, but those that begin in the fall might be more severe. That kind of variation could have important implications for how social distancing measures are timed.
"""